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1. Internal working group launched

   Internal working group has been launched. Alex gave an overview on earthquake scaling and seismicity (3rd February 2025).

   

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical Models, led by Hideo Aochi (BRGM), in collaboration with ISTerre Chambéry, LG-ENS Paris, LP-ENS Paris and LMJL Nantes.

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2. Kick-off meeting of ANR PREMs project

   Internal Kick-off meetings (Round 1, 2 & 3) were held on the 9th, 16th and 23rd Janueary 2025. Seminars and external events will be organized in the coming months and during the whole project period. We recrute two PhDs and two postdocs. Keep in touch!

   

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical …

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3. Opening homepage of ANR PREMs project

   

   The homepage of the ANR PREMs project is about to open.

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical Models, led by Hideo Aochi (BRGM), in collaboration with ISTerre Chambéry, LG-ENS Paris, LP-ENS Paris and LMJL Nantes.

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   Main; About; Contents; News; Partners; Publications

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4. Preface

   The predictability of earthquakes has been debated since many decades, particularly their long-term recurrence (when, where and which magnitude). The nonlinearlity of the governing physics behind the process, the complexity of the Earth's interior and the uncertainty of the observable parameters are all factors which make earthquake prediction almost impossible …

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5. Project objective

   Our strategy is thus to map seismic activity in space and time as precisely as possible, involving various scale phenomena (the purpose of WP1 & WP2), construct the heterogeneous fault model (WP3) and study the sensibility and predictability (periodical behaviors and randomness) (WP4 & WP5). The episodic or periodic behaviors of tiny …

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6. Participants

   BRGM

   Hideo AOCHI (Earthquake Seismology; Numerical Modeling)

   Julie MAURY (Seismology; Seismicity)

   PhD1

   ISTerre, Chambéry

   Blandine GARDONIO (Seismology; Seismicity)

   PhD2

   Laboratoire de Geologie de l'Ecole Normale Superieur, Paris

   Alexandre SCHUBNEL (Rock mechanics; Seismicity)

   Harsha BHAT (Mechanics, Numerical Modeling)

   Yishuo ZHOU (PhD)

   Postdoc1

   Laboratoire de Physique de l'Ecole Normale Superieur, Paris

   François …

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7. News

   We are going to recrute a few students and postdocs.

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8. Partners

   BRGM, Orléans

   ISTerre, Chambéry

   Laboratoire de Geologie de l'Ecole Normale Superieur, Paris

   Laboratoire de Physique de l'Ecole Normale Superieur, Paris

   Laboratoire de Mathematiques Jean Leray, Nantes.

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9. Publications

   Publications related to this project will be announced on this page.

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