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1. 1st Mini-workshop PREMs

   Mini-workshop is goind to be held at ENS Paris and on-line on the Thursday 10th July 2025.

   8h55 Short introduction

   9h00 (16h00 in Tokyo) - Scientific presentation (In English, Hybrid)

   Speakers: Tentative titles

   9h00 Blandine Gardonio (ISTerre, University of Savoie Mont Blanc) : The use of template matching technique in continental and …

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2. PhD opportunity at ISTerre

   ISTerre is looking for a PhD student staring from Autumn 2025. The deadline is for the 30th June 2025.

   Microseismicity and deformation analysis of the Kumamoto (2016) and Noto (2024) earthquakes

   Link to document

   ISTerre/Univ. Savoie Mont-Blanc

   

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical Models, led by Hideo Aochi (BRGM …

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3. PhD opportunity at BRGM - LGENS

   BRGM and LGENS are looking for a PhD student staring from Autumn 2025. The deadline is for the 28th April 2025.

   Multi-scale seismicity: From laboratory to natural fault systems

   Link to document (updated on the 8th April 2025)

   Ecole Doctorale 398 - GRNE

   Campus France

   BRGM

   

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and …

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4. Internal working group launched

   Internal working group has been launched.

   An overview on earthquake scaling and seismicity by Alex (3rd February 2025).

   Multi-scale hetergeneous fault model by Hideo (10th March 2025).

   Statistical seismology by Blandine and David (13th May 2025).

   

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical Models, led by Hideo Aochi (BRGM), in collaboration …

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5. Kick-off meeting of ANR PREMs project

   Internal Kick-off meetings (Round 1, 2 & 3) were held on the 9th, 16th and 23rd Janueary 2025. Seminars and external events will be organized in the coming months and during the whole project period. We recrute two PhDs and two postdocs. Keep in touch!

   

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical …

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6. Opening homepage of ANR PREMs project

   

   The homepage of the ANR PREMs project is about to open.

   PREMs: PRedictability of Earthquakes and Mathematical Models, led by Hideo Aochi (BRGM), in collaboration with ISTerre Chambéry, LG-ENS Paris, LP-ENS Paris and LMJL Nantes.

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   Main; About; Contents; News; Partners; Publications

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7. Preface

   The predictability of earthquakes has been debated since many decades, particularly their long-term recurrence (when, where and which magnitude). The nonlinearlity of the governing physics behind the process, the complexity of the Earth's interior and the uncertainty of the observable parameters are all factors which make earthquake prediction almost impossible …

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8. Project objective

   Our strategy is thus to map seismic activity in space and time as precisely as possible, involving various scale phenomena (the purpose of WP1 & WP2), construct the heterogeneous fault model (WP3) and study the sensibility and predictability (periodical behaviors and randomness) (WP4 & WP5). The episodic or periodic behaviors of tiny …

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9. Participants

   BRGM

   Hideo AOCHI (Earthquake Seismology; Numerical Modeling)

   Julie MAURY (Seismology; Seismicity)

   Viktor Essbach (PhD 2025-, Seismology and rock mechanics)

   ISTerre, Chambéry

   Blandine GARDONIO (Seismology; Seismicity)

   Diego Cardellini (PhD 2025-, Seismology; Statistical seismology)

   Laboratoire de Geologie de l'Ecole Normale Superieur, Paris

   Alexandre SCHUBNEL (Rock mechanics; Seismicity)

   Harsha BHAT (Mechanics, Numerical Modeling …

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